เหตุการณ์ใน-นอกโลก VS ภัยธรรมชาติ และupdate พายุสุริยะ

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Solar wind
speed: 442.1 km/sec
density: 0.2 protons/cm³
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1043 UT <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B9 0702 UT Aug25
24-hr: B9 0702 UT Aug25
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1000 UT <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Daily Sun: 25 Aug 11 <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> A new sunspot is emerging at the circled location. Credit: SDO/HMI
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Sunspot number: 75
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 24 Aug 2011

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 821 days
Typical Solar Min: 486 days
Updated 24 Aug 2011

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 104 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 24 Aug 2011
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Current Auroral Oval: ​

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<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/POES <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Planetary K-index
Now: Kp=[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif] 0 [/FONT] quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2 quiet
explanation | more data
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Interplanetary Mag. Field
B_total: 3.2 nT
B_z: 1.7 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1045 UT <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Coronal Holes: 25 Aug 11 <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> A solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole should reach Earth on Aug. 28-29. Credit: SDO/AIA.

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-08-26 08:04:50 - Event into space - MultiCountries

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>CO-20110826-32101-MLC</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-08-26 08:04:50 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Other</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>MultiCountries</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>South-America airspace, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> The amateur footage shows the glowing ball of rock soaring across the horizon near the Andes mountains in southern Peru. As it fell from space local officials were unable to determine where the object may have landed after the meteorite was spotted last week. Meteorites are fragments of rock and metal that fall to earth from space after breaking away from a larger extra-terresrial body. They can measure anything from a fraction of a millimetre to the size of a football pitch and bigger.
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rq1NI8iGT1k&feature=player_detailpage]ALERT - ANOTHER HUGE CME NASA STEREO SOHO IMAGES 28TH AUGUST 2011 - YouTube[/ame]

 

Pole coordinate

<table width="750" align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" border="0"> <tbody><tr> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td align="right"></td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#330099"> <td colspan="3">

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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Earth Orientation Center
(Earth Rotation Data)</td> <td width="595" align="right"> ICRS Product Center
(Celestial Reference System)</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="1" width="400">
Polar motion for the last years :


Excess of the Length of day for the last years :


Look at their atmospheric excitation
</td><td colspan="1" width="10">
</td> <td valign="top" width="350">

The Paris Observatory is hosting two components of The International Earth Rotation Service: the Earth Orientation and International Celestial Reference Frames Centers, in close association with the International Terrestrial Reference Frame Center, hosted in Institut Géographique National, located in Ile de France. The International Earth Rotation Service (IERS) is an interdisciplinary service that maintains key connections between astronomy, geodesy and geophysics. He provides:

Celestial reference frame

Terrestrial reference frame

Earth orientation data

Permanent information on the Earth fluid layer

IERS Conventions

The service now accomplishes its missions through various components: a Central Bureau, Techniques Centers, Product Centers and Combination Research Centers. </td> </tr> </tbody></table>

 

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]RED SPRITES: [/FONT]High above Earth in the realm of meteors and noctilucent clouds, a strange and beautiful form of lightning dances at the edge of space. Researchers call the bolts "sprites"; they are red, fleeting, and tend to come in bunches. Martin Popek of Nýdek in the Czech republic photographed these specimens on August 27th:

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"Sprites are a true space weather phenomenon," explains lightning scientist Oscar van der Velde of Sant Vicenç de Castellet, Spain. "They develop in mid-air around 80 km altitude, growing in both directions, first down, then up. This happens when a fierce lightning bolt draws lots of charge from a cloud near Earth's surface. Electric fields [shoot] to the top of Earth's atmosphere--and the result is a sprite. The entire process takes about 20 milliseconds."
Although sprites have been seen for at least a century, most scientists did not believe they existed until after 1989 when sprites were photographed by cameras onboard the space shuttle. Now "sprite chasers" routinely photograph sprites from their own homes. "I used up a Watec 902H2 Ultimate security camera with UFOCapture software to catch my sprites," says Popek. Give it a try!

 

พระอาทิตย์เริ่มระเบิดแล้ว

 

ดูสนามแม่เหล็กโลก มันแปลกๆ ดี :boo:

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yoJxs3AWF8I&feature=player_detailpage]Cloud Machine.flv - YouTube[/ame]

แจ่มมาก เครื่องสร้างเมฆ

 

โรคร้อนเกิดจากรังสีคอสมิคและดวงอาทิตย์ ไม่ใช่ฝีมือมนุษย์

Global Warming Caused by Cosmic Rays and the Sun - Not Humans

Lawrence Solomon
Financial Post
Mon, 29 Aug 2011 17:54 CDT



New, convincing evidence indicates global warming is caused by cosmic rays and the sun - not humans

The science is now all-but-settled on global warming, convincing new evidence demonstrates, but Al Gore, the IPCC and other global warming doomsayers won't be celebrating. The new findings point to cosmic rays and the sun - not human activities - as the dominant controller of climate on Earth.

The research, published with little fanfare this week in the prestigious journal Nature, comes from über-prestigious CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, one of the world's largest centres for scientific research involving 60 countries and 8,000 scientists at more than 600 universities and national laboratories. CERN is the organization that invented the World Wide Web, that built the multi-billion dollar Large Hadron Collider, and that has now built a pristinely clean stainless steel chamber that precisely recreated the Earth's atmosphere.

In this chamber, 63 CERN scientists from 17 European and American institutes have done what global warming doomsayers said could never be done - demonstrate that cosmic rays promote the formation of molecules that in Earth's atmosphere can grow and seed clouds, the cloudier and thus cooler it will be. Because the sun's magnetic field controls how many cosmic rays reach Earth's atmosphere (the stronger the sun's magnetic field, the more it shields Earth from incoming cosmic rays from space), the sun determines the temperature on Earth.

The hypothesis that cosmic rays and the sun hold the key to the global warming debate has been Enemy No. 1 to the global warming establishment ever since it was first proposed by two scientists from the Danish Space Research Institute, at a 1996 scientific conference in the U.K. Within one day, the chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Bert Bolin, denounced the theory, saying, "I find the move from this pair scientifically extremely naive and irresponsible." He then set about discrediting the theory, any journalist that gave the theory cre dence, and most of all the Danes presenting the theory - they soon found themselves vilified, marginalized and starved of funding, despite their impeccable scientific credentials.

The mobilization to rally the press against the Danes worked brilliantly, with one notable exception. Nigel Calder, a former editor of The New Scientist who attended that 1996 conference, would not be cowed. Himself a physicist, Mr. Calder became convinced of the merits of the argument and a year later, following a lecture he gave at a CERN conference, so too did Jasper Kirkby, a CERN scientist in attendance. Mr. Kirkby then convinced the CERN bureaucracy of the theory's importance and developed a plan to create a cloud chamber - he called it CLOUD, for "Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets."

But Mr. Kirkby made the same tactical error that the Danes had - not realizing how politicized the global warming issue was, he candidly shared his views with the scientific community.

"The theory will probably be able to account for somewhere between a half and the whole of the increase in the Earth's temperature that we have seen in the last century," Mr. Kirkby told the scientific press in 1998, explaining that global warming may be part of a natural cycle in the Earth's temperature.

The global warming establishment sprang into action, pressured the Western governments that control CERN, and almost immediately succeeded in suspending CLOUD. It took Mr. Kirkby almost a decade of negotiation with his superiors, and who knows how many compromises and unspoken commitments, to convince the CERN bureaucracy to allow the project to proceed. And years more to create the cloud chamber and convincingly validate the Danes' groundbreaking theory.

Yet this spectacular success will be largely unrecognized by the general public for years - this column will be the first that most readers have heard of it - because CERN remains too afraid of offending its government masters to admit its success. Weeks ago, CERN formerly decided to muzzle Mr. Kirby and other members of his team to avoid "the highly political arena of the climate change debate," telling them "to present the results clearly but not interpret them" and to downplay the results by "mak[ing] clear that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters." The CERN study and press release is written in bureaucratese and the version of Mr. Kirkby's study that appears in the print edition of Nature censored the most eye-popping graph - only those who know where to look in an online supplement will see the striking potency of cosmic rays in creating the conditions for seeding clouds.

CERN, and the Danes, have in all likelihood found the path to the Holy Grail of climate science. But the religion of climate science won't yet permit a celebration of the find.

 

28 สิงหาคม อุกาบาตใหญ่ตกเหนือเมืองแอตแลนต้า อเมริกา - จากกล้องนาซ่า

Brilliant Meteor Lights Up Sky Over Atlanta

by Tariq Malik, SPACE.com Managing Editor
Date: 30 August 2011 Time: 12:38 PM ET

<table style="width:1px;" border="0"><tbody><tr><td></td> </tr><tr> <td style="margin-top: 10px; border: 1px solid lightgray; padding: 10px; font-color: #444444;"> This view from a NASA all sky camera located at Cartersville, Ga., shows a brilliant meteor as it streaked over the Atlanta area on Aug. 28, 2011.
CREDIT: NASA/MSFC
View full size image
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> A bright meteor lit up the night sky above Atlanta on Sunday (Aug. 28) in a dazzling display caught by NASA cameras.


The meteor streaked over Atlanta, Ga., and its surrounding cities at the mind-blowing speed of about 52,800 mph (84,970 kph).


NASA's network of all-sky cameras, which monitors the sky for meteor and fireball events, caught several views of the "shooting star" from different cities, including a video recorded from Cartersville, Ga., though it was difficult to pinpoint the meteor's core. [Video of the Atlanta meteor]

 

ดวงอาทิตย์เร่ิมระเบิดอีกแล้ว


Solar flares yesterday

Yesterday, 5 solar flares were observed:

<table class="table_4" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="750"><tbody><tr> <th width="1%"> </th> <th align="left" width="1%"> </th> <th>Active region</th> <th>Begin, UT</th> <th>Max, UT</th> <th>End, UT</th> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td align="left" nowrap="nowrap">Flare of class C1.9</td> <td class="center">1274</td> <td class="center">03:06:00</td> <td class="center">03:12:00</td> <td class="center">03:16:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td align="left" nowrap="nowrap">Flare of class C1.1</td> <td class="center">1274</td> <td class="center">05:10:00</td> <td class="center">05:14:00</td> <td class="center">05:20:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td align="left" nowrap="nowrap">Flare of class C1.5</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">06:34:00</td> <td class="center">06:43:00</td> <td class="center">06:55:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td align="left" nowrap="nowrap">Flare of class C1.5</td> <td class="center">0</td> <td class="center">13:48:00</td> <td class="center">14:13:00</td> <td class="center">14:28:00</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="6" style="height:8px;">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"></td> <td align="left" nowrap="nowrap">Flare of class C5.5</td> <td class="center">1281</td> <td class="center">22:02:00</td> <td class="center">22:46:00</td> <td class="center">22:53:00</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

Daily Sun: 31 Aug 11 <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Sunspots are emerging at several locations around the solar disk. New sunspot 1282, in particular, could pose a threat for Earth-directed C-flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

 

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]EMERGING SUNSPOTS: [/FONT]Sunspots are emerging at several locations around the solar disk, peppering the Earth-side of the sun with active regions. Of particular interest is fast-growing sunspot 1282, shown here in an August 31st snapshot from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

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AR1282 has increased in size more than ten-fold during the past 48 hours: movie. Moreover, the sunspot is near the center of the solar disk, so any flares from this active region today would likely be Earth-directed.


SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids​

 

Meteor Activity Outlook for August 27- September 2, 2011

By Robert Lunsford, in Meteor Showers
During this period the moon reaches its new phase on Monday August 29th. At this time the moon will lie near the sun and will not be visible at night. Next week the waxing crescent moon will enter the evening skies but will set soon after dusk, allowing meteor observers to view under dark conditions during the late night and early morning hours. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near six as seen from the northern hemisphere and three as seen from the southern hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near fifteen as seen from mid-northern latitudes and seven from mid-southern latitudes. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity.


The radiant (the area of the sky where meteors appear to shoot from) positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning August 27/28. These positions do not change greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period. Most star atlases (available at science stores and planetariums) will provide maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also useful in showing the sky at any time of night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or south along the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must be remembered that meteor activity is rarely seen at the radiant position. Rather they shoot outwards from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view so that the radiant lies at the edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow you to easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower member) or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants that are located below the horizon. The positions below are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The positions listed first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night while those listed further down the list rise later in the night.


The following showers are expected to be active this week:
The last of the August Draconids (AUD) will occur this weekend from a radiant located at 18:39 (280) +63. This position lies in southeastern Draco, five degrees southwest of the fourth magnitude star Delta Draconis. Maximum activity occurred on August 21st so rates would be low, less than one per hour at best. With an entry velocity of 23 km/sec. most of these meteors will appear to move slowly. The radiant is best placed near 2200 Local Daylight Time (10pm LDT) when it lies highest in the sky. Due to its high northern declination this shower is not well seen from the southern hemisphere.


The wide Antihelion (ANT) radiant is now centered at 23:08 (347) -04. This area of the sky lies on the Pisces/Aquarius border, twenty degrees south of the second magnitude star Markab (Alpha Pegasi). This radiant is best placed near 0200 LDT, when it lies on the meridian and is located highest in the sky. Due to the large size of this radiant, any meteor radiating from Aquarius, western Pisces, western Cetus, or southern Pegasus could be a candidate for this shower. Rates at this time should be near one per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and two per hour as seen from south of the equator. With an entry velocity of 30 km/sec., the average Antihelion meteor would be of medium-slow speed.


The Aurigids (AUR) are first seen on August 28 and peak on Thursday morning September 1st. On that morning of maximum activity, the radiant will be located at 06:02 (091) +39. This position lies in central Auriga, two degrees north of the third magnitude Theta Aurigae. The radiant is best placed during the last hour before the start of morning twilight when it lies highest in a dark sky. Hourly rates this weekend will be very low, less than one per hour no matter your location. At maximum, hourly rates during the last hour before dawn will range from 2-5 as seen from the northern hemisphere. South of the equator, this shower is not well seen as it lies low in the northern sky during the morning hours. With an entry velocity of 67 km/sec., most activity from this radiant would be swift.


As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) one would expect to see approximately fourteen sporadic meteors per hour during the last hour before dawn as seen from rural observing sites. Evening rates would be near five per hour. As seen from the mid-southern hemisphere (45S), morning rates would be near five per hour as seen from rural observing sites and two per hour during the evening hours. Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed figures.
The table below presents a condensed version of the expected activity this week. Rates and positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning.
<table style="width: 100%;" border="1"><tbody><tr align="center" valign="bottom"> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">SHOWER</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">DATE OF MAXIMUM ACTIVITY</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">CELESTIAL POSITION</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">ENTRY VELOCITY</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">CULMINATION</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">HOURLY RATE</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">CLASS</td> </tr> <tr class="odd" align="center" valign="bottom"> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">
</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">
</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">RA (RA in Deg.) DEC</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Km/Sec</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Local Daylight Time</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">North-South</td> <td bgcolor="#c0c0c0">
</td> </tr> <tr align="center" valign="bottom"> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr class="odd" align="center" valign="bottom"> <td>August Draconids (AUD)</td> <td>Aug 21</td> <td>18:39 (280) +63</td> <td>23</td> <td>22:00</td> <td><1 – <1</td> <td>IV</td> </tr> <tr align="center" valign="bottom"> <td>Antihelions (ANT)</td> <td>-</td> <td>23:08 (347) -04</td> <td>30</td> <td>02:00</td> <td>1 – 2</td> <td>II</td> </tr> <tr class="odd" align="center" valign="bottom"> <td>Aurigids (AUR)</td> <td>Sep 01</td> <td>06:02 (091) +39</td> <td>67</td> <td>09:00</td> <td><1 – <1</td> <td>II</td></tr></tbody></table>
Meteor Activity Outlook for August 27- September 2, 2011 | American Meteor Society