ประกาศข่าวแผ่นดินไหว(&การคาดการณ์)

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"></td> <td valign="top" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">


</td> <td valign="top" width="100%"> Orange Earthquake Alert New Caledonia</td> <td valign="top"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Summary

On 1/13/2011 4:16:41 PM UTC (about 03:30h local time) an earthquake of magnitude 7.3 occurred in the unpopulated region of New Caledonia in New Caledonia. The nearest populated places are: [None]. The closest civilian airport is Mare La Roche (112km).
It is likely that a tsunami was generated. The maximum tsunami wave height near the coast of Anelghowhat will be 1.19m. Please refer to the GDACS tsunami report for more details.
Potentially affected critical infrastructure:

• Nuclear plants: [None]
• Hydrodams: [None]
• Airports: Mare La Roche (112km), Wanaham (137km), White Grass (144km), Tanna Island Tanna (157km), Aniwa (182km)
• Ports: Tadine (128km), We (137km), Aneityum Island (134km), Tana Island (151km)

Based on an automated impact model, this earthquake, which occurred in a region with low vulnerability to natural disasters, has potentially a medium humanitarian impact.
Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.
<table><tbody><tr><td>Event Date Univ. Time: </td><td>Thu, 1/13/2011 16:16 UTC</td></tr> <tr><td>European Time of the event: </td><td>Thu, 1/13/2011 17:16 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)</td></tr> <tr><td>East America Time of the event: </td><td>Thu, 1/13/2011 11:16 EST (New York, Washington)</td></tr> <tr><td>West America Time of the event: </td><td>Thu, 1/13/2011 08:16 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)</td></tr> <tr><td>East Asia Time of the event: </td><td>Fri, 1/14/2011 01:16 JTI (Tokyo)</td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">This email report was automatically created by a computer at: 1/13/2011 4:40:28 PM UTC (23 minutes after the event)</td></tr> </tbody></table> See the GDACS website for live news coverage (including OCHA Situation Reports), the full earthquake report and tsunami report .
For information on emergency response, please consult the GDACS Virtual OSOCC.

Tsunami Event

It is likely that a tsunami was generated. Based on precalculated scenarios, the maximum tsunami wave height near the coast of Anelghowhat will be 1.19m.
A detailed tsunami wave height calculation is ongoing and should be available 20 minutes after this report was created. Results can be slightly different than the precalculated scenario. The outcome can be checked here: GDACS tsunami report .

Travel time map.
Other maps: maximum wave height, animation.
Earthquake Event

Characteristics

• Source: World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC) M
• Magnitude: 7.3 M
• Depth: 7.2 km
• Location (Lat/Long): -20.5886 | 168.5475
• Country: New Caledonia
• Province: New Caledonia
• Region: Loyalty Islands
• UTC/GMT (Greenwich time): 1/13/2011 4:16:41 PM
• Estimated local solar time: 1/14/2011 3:30:52 AM

Population Density near epicenter (people/km²). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
Earthquake Impact Details

Potentially affected People

<table style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="3">

Population Data​

</th> </tr> <tr> <th>Radius (km)</th> <th>Population</th> <th>Density (people/km?)</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">1</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">2</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">5</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">10</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">20</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">50</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">100</td> <td style="text-align: right;">110 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">200</td> <td style="text-align: right;">46679 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> The population in the area of this earthquake is 0 people/km?.
The earthquake occurred at 3h local time. At this time a day, more people are at home and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing residential buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.
Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.
New Caledonia has a GDP per capita of 17375 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the high level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of high resilience.
Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes New Caledonia a low vulnerability.
Secondary effects

Probability of secondary effects:

• Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 3.028% and the maximum altitude is 89 m. Since this is a low slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is low. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions.
• Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Tsunami: No tsunami risk.

 

จับตาการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์ช่วงวันที่ 2-5 กุมภาพันธ์ คศ 2011

อ้างอิง

ระดับความรุนแรง:
ปานกลาง


ช่วงเวลา:

Mon, 2011-01-17 - Mon, 2011-02-07


หลังจากช่วงดาวเคราะห์เรียงตัวในวันที่ 12-13 มกราคม แล้วไม่มีแนวเรียงตัวที่สำคัญมากหลังจากนั้นจนถีงวันที่ 2 กุมภาพันธ์ คาดว่ากระทบต่อโลกจะไม่มากนัก แต่จะเก็บข้อมูลในช่วงนี้เพื่อไปวิเคราะห์ต่อไป
ซี่งช่วงนี้อาจจะต้องดูปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ในวันที่ 20 และ 26-27 มกราคม เป็นพิเศษ และปฏิกริยานี้อาจจะส่งผลกระทบต่อโลกไม่มากเท่ากับวันที่ 2-5 กุมภาพันธ์
ในวันที่ 2 กุมภาพันธ์ ประมาณ 0 UTC จะมีเหตุการณ์ดาวเคราะห์เรียงตัวระหว่าง พระอาทิตย์ ดาววีนัส และ ดาวพฤหัส ในมุม 180 องศา นอกจากนั้นยังมีการเรียงตัวระหว่างดวงอาทิตย์ ดาววีนัส และ ดาวเสาร์ ในเวลาประมาณ 18 UTC

ในวันที่ 3 กุมภาพันธ์ เวลาประมาณ 4:30 UTC จะมีการเรียงตัวระหว่างพระอาทิตย์ โลก และ ดวงจันทร์ ซี่งแนวที่คาดว่าจะได้รับผลกระทบหลักคือ ประเทศในเอเซียตะวันออกเฉียงใต้ หรือ ประเทศในเอเซียตะวันออกลาง ส่วนผลกระทบรองคาดว่าจะเป็นบริเวณทวีปยุโรป หรือ อเมริกาเหนือ

ซึ่งคาดว่าพระอาทิตย์จะเริ่มมีปฏิกริยาใหญ่อีกครั้งหนี่งตั้งแต่ปลายวัน ที่ 1 กุมภาพันธ์ และปล่อยพลังงานของในรูปแบบของ CME ซี่งจะส่งผลกระทบต่อโลกระดับปานกลางในวันที่ 3-5 กุมภาพันธ์ ผลกระทบต่อโลกนั้นจะอยู่ในรูปแบบของแผ่นดินไหว ประมาณ 6.2-7.2 ริตเตอร์ และสภาพอากาศแปรปรวน
ปฏิกริยาที่ดวงอาทิตย์

ในวันที่ 16 มกราคม พระอาทิตย์ เงียบสงบและมีจุดดับปริมาณเล็กน้อย ซี่งจากภาพถ่าย มุมกว้าง พบ active region ขนาดกลางกำลังเคลื่อนตัวเข้ามาเรียงกับโลกประมาณวันที่ 20 กุมภาพันธ์

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 05:14:25 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 51.636 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 179.768 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 15.5 </td><td valign="top"> RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 04:43:06 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 38.805 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -122.790 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.0 </td><td valign="top"> NORTHERN CALIFORNIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 02:15:52 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 24.414 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 94.799 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">105.6 </td><td valign="top"> MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 02:02:01 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -16.263 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -175.948 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">346.9 </td><td valign="top"> TONGA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 01:59:08 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 17.710 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -65.859 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 15.6 </td><td valign="top"> PUERTO RICO REGION</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 00:44:20 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 58.571 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -157.151 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">202.9 </td><td valign="top"> ALASKA PENINSULA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.4 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 00:18:23 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 58.955 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -154.621 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">131.5 </td><td valign="top"> ALASKA PENINSULA</td></tr> </tbody></table><hr> <table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr> <th> </th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 23:46:15 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 35.285 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -92.343 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top"> ARKANSAS</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 23:41:44 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 59.928 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -152.889 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">103.9 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 23:34:11 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 19.390 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -155.252 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.4 </td><td valign="top"> ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.1 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 23:29:52 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -30.239 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -71.230 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 65.1 </td><td valign="top"> COQUIMBO, CHILE</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 21:14:10 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 46.830 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -113.905 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 0.1 </td><td valign="top"> WESTERN MONTANA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 19:20:56 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -5.078 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 102.690 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 30.1 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 18:53:30 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -34.610 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -71.737 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 42.3 </td><td valign="top"> LIBERTADOR O'HIGGINS, CHILE</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.4 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 17:27:39 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 51.996 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -174.465 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">165.8 </td><td valign="top"> ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 16:51:07 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 52.649 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 174.442 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 83.6 </td><td valign="top"> NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.9 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 13:25:35 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 27.329 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 143.095 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 10.3 </td><td valign="top"> BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 11:19:27 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -3.598 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 100.458 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 29.1 </td><td valign="top"> KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 10:59:04 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 38.807 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -122.793 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.9 </td><td valign="top"> NORTHERN CALIFORNIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 10:32:13 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 32.998 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -116.362 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 8.5 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.7 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 08:38:50 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 18.560 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -66.802 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 13.6 </td><td valign="top"> PUERTO RICO REGION</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 08:22:29 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.454 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 30.671 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 23.7 </td><td valign="top"> LAKE ALBERT REGION, UGANDA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 07:10:13 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 39.876 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -120.482 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 9.1 </td><td valign="top"> NORTHERN CALIFORNIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 06:32:09 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 58.141 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -149.588 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 12.2 </td><td valign="top"> GULF OF ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.3 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 01:35:32 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -20.999 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -11.533 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 9.7 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/17 00:08:36 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -21.111 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -11.440 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 10.0 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.4 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 21:30:43 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -18.962 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -69.246 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 73.7 </td><td valign="top"> TARAPACA, CHILE</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 7.2 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/18 20:23:26 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 28.838 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 63.947 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 84.0 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN</td></tr></tbody></table>


<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"></td> <td valign="top" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">


</td> <td valign="top" width="100%"> Green Earthquake Alert Pakistan</td> <td valign="top"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Summary

On 1/18/2011 8:23:18 PM UTC (about 00:39h local time) an earthquake of magnitude 7.4 occurred in the moderately populated region of Baluchistan in Pakistan. The nearest populated places are: Merui (17km). The closest civilian airport is Dalbandin (47km).
Potentially affected critical infrastructure:

• Nuclear plants: [None]
• Hydrodams: [None]
• Airports: Bandari (171km), Kharan (151km), Kharan East (154km), Nok Kundi (118km), Dalbandin (47km)
• Ports: [None]

Based on an automated impact model, this earthquake, which occurred in a region with high vulnerability to natural disasters, has potentially a low humanitarian impact.
Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.
<table><tbody><tr><td>Event Date Univ. Time: </td><td>Tue, 1/18/2011 20:23 UTC</td></tr> <tr><td>European Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 1/18/2011 21:23 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)</td></tr> <tr><td>East America Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 1/18/2011 15:23 EST (New York, Washington)</td></tr> <tr><td>West America Time of the event: </td><td>Tue, 1/18/2011 12:23 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)</td></tr> <tr><td>East Asia Time of the event: </td><td>Wed, 1/19/2011 05:23 JTI (Tokyo)</td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">This email report was automatically created by a computer at: 1/18/2011 8:41:08 PM UTC (17 minutes after the event)</td></tr> </tbody></table> See the GDACS website for live news coverage (including OCHA Situation Reports), the full earthquake report .
For information on emergency response, please consult the GDACS Virtual OSOCC.

Earthquake Event

Characteristics

• Source: World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC) M
• Magnitude: 7.4 M
• Depth: 10 km
• Location (Lat/Long): 28.94 | 63.93
• Country: Pakistan
• Province: Baluchistan
• Region: Southwestern Pakistan
• UTC/GMT (Greenwich time): 1/18/2011 8:23:18 PM
• Estimated local solar time: 1/19/2011 12:39:01 AM

Population Density near epicenter (people/km²). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
Earthquake Impact Details

Potentially affected People

<table style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="3">

Population Data​

</th> </tr> <tr> <th>Radius (km)</th> <th>Population</th> <th>Density (people/km?)</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">1</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">2</td> <td style="text-align: right;">7 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">5</td> <td style="text-align: right;">236 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">3 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">10</td> <td style="text-align: right;">1802 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">5 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">20</td> <td style="text-align: right;">9108 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">7 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">50</td> <td style="text-align: right;">39668 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">5 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">100</td> <td style="text-align: right;">93984 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">2 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">200</td> <td style="text-align: right;">446139 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">3 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> The population in the area of this earthquake is 5 people/km?.
The earthquake occurred at 0h local time. At this time a day, more people are at home and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing residential buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.
Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.
Pakistan has a GDP per capita of 507 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the low level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of low resilience.
Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Pakistan a high vulnerability.
<table style="border-collapse: collapse; border: 1px none;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="2" valign="top"> ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Pakistan</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;" colspan="2" valign="top">

​

</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Overall situation</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">Human Development </td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Human Poverty​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Exposure to Major Disasters</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Natural Disasters​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Conflicts​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Humanitarian effects of population movement</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Refugees</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Internally Displaced People</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Health and Nutrition</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Undernourishment</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Mortality rates</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Donor contributions</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Official Development assistance</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8">

​

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="border-top-style: solid;"> Source ECHO
Key: Bad - Medium - Good - No data</td></tr> </tbody></table> Secondary effects

Probability of secondary effects:

• Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 46.268% and the maximum altitude is 2350 m. Since this is a medium slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is medium. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions.
• Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Tsunami: No tsunami risk.

 

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-01-19 03:44:11 - Earthquake - Pakistan

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table width="100%" align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>EQ-20110119-29230-PAK</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-01-19 03:44:11 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Asia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>Pakistan</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>State of Baluchistan, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Event exciting : Earthquake of M7.2
Damage level: Moderate (Level 2)

Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="440" align="right"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> A major 7.2 magnitude earthquake struck a remote area of south-western Pakistan early today, causing widespread panic but reportedly few casualties. It was so powerful that aftershocks lasting 20 seconds were felt from Delhi to Dubai. The US geological service said the centre of the quake was in Baluchistan province, close to the Afghan and Iranian borders, the country's most sparsely populated area, at a depth of 50 miles. Pakistani meterologists added that its epicentre was in a remote area about 200 miles south-west of the Baluchistan capital, Quetta. Although no word had been received on damage in Dalbandin, the town closest to the epicentre, quakes of this strength can cause widespread destruction. Nasir Baluch, a police officer in Karan, 45 miles from the epicentre, said several mud houses collapsed or were damaged in an area outside the town. But Fateh Bangar, Karan's deputy commissioner, said the town itself had suffered no major damage. Karachi resident Mohammad Zubair said he was watching a cricket match on TV when his bed began to shake. "I jumped out of bed realizing it was an earthquake," said the 28-year-old. "My mom started reciting verses from the Quran, and we rushed outside." Similar reports were received from Quetta, but the only casualty was one woman reportedly dying from a heart attack.
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

Situation Update No. 1
Posted:2011-01-19, 03:42:28 [UTC]
Ref.no.: EQ-20110119-29230-PAK

Situation Update No. 1
On 2011-01-19 at 03:53:21 [UTC]

Event: Earthquake
Location: Pakistan Province of Baluchistan Dalbandin

Situation:

A powerful earthquake struck Pakistan early Wednesday morning, causing people to run from their homes reciting verses of the Koran. Strong tremors from the earthquake, which hit about 50 kilometers west of Dalbandin, could be felt as far away as India and the Gulf. The earthquake, which measured 7.2 magnitude, hit at 1:23 am in a remote and sparsely populated area in Baluchistan province, near the border with Afghanistan and Iran. It struck about 50 kilometers from Dalbandin, a town so remote Pakistan used the nearby Chagai hills for nuclear tests in 1998. There were no initial reports of casualties.

 

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-01-19 03:55:26 - Earthquake - USA

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table width="100%" align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>EQ-20110119-29233-USA</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-01-19 03:55:26 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>North-America</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>USA</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>State of California, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Calero Reservoir, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td width="440" align="right"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Santa Clara County's system of 10 reservoirs -- built between the 1930s and 1950s and already needing earthquake upgrades that could cost $150 million -- received another setback Tuesday. The Santa Clara Valley Water District, which owns and operates the reservoirs, announced that new engineering tests show it will need to further reduce the amount of water it can store in Calero Reservoir in South San Jose. Test drilling underneath the 98-foot earthen dam at Calero, built in 1935, showed sand and gravel under the base of the dam, which engineers worry could shift in a major earthquake like quicksand, possibly causing the dam to slump. Based on recommendations from its engineering consultants, the district said it will fill Calero no more than 57 percent full. On Tuesday, it was 55 percent full. The reservoir already was under an order from the state Division of Safety of Dams to be filled no more than 80 percent. Because of similar seismic concerns, five of the district's 10 reservoirs cannot be filled to the capacity for which they were designed. Adding the latest restrictions on Calero, the 10 reservoirs now are limited to hold no more than 113,000 acre-feet of water, or just 67 percent of the 169,000 acre-feet that they were designed to hold. An acre-foot is roughly 326,000 gallons, the amount of water it takes to flood one acre a foot deep.

That means that even if it rains significantly this year, the water district, which provides drinking water and flood protection for 1.8 million Santa Clara County residents, won't be able to catch it all for future dry years. The lost capacity is enough to provide drinking water for 280,000 people for a year. "The problem is significant," said Don Gage, newly elected chairman of the water district's board. "You have to understand that these dams are 80 years old. The earthquake standards back then were not what they are today. We are going to have to shift dollars in our capital improvement programs from other projects to these dams." Gage said that fixing all five reservoirs that need seismic upgrades -- Anderson, Coyote, Almaden, Calero and Guadalupe -- could cost $150 million or more. That means money the water district was planning to spend on other projects, such as desalination or potentially flood control work, could be delayed. Repairing Anderson, the largest, could take six years or more, he said. In major earthquakes, dams can slump from the top, causing massive floods. Although such disasters are rare, they can be deadly. The failure of the St. Francis Dam north of Los Angeles in 1928, for instance, sent a 125-foot high wall of water roaring through several communities near Santa Clarita, killing more than 450 people.

To reduce risk, water engineers typically lower the level of water stored behind dams that may have safety concerns. That not only puts less pressure on the dams, but also decreases the chance that water will pour over the top of a slumping dam. Most of the restrictions in Santa Clara County began in 2006 when new geological studies showed shaking from earthquakes on the Calaveras Fault, which runs from Hollister to Milpitas, and several smaller faults nearby could be stronger than seismologists previously realized. In 2009, the district hired URS, an engineering firm based in San Francisco, to conduct a $3.3 million study of the problem. URS engineers are using drilling machines, barges and other heavy equipment to take geologic samples at the dams, then evaluating risk with complex computer models. Calero is one of the smaller reservoirs in Santa Clara County. It was built to hold 9,934 acre feet. Under Tuesday's new rules, it will be filled to no more than 5,671 acre-feet. "We're taking a very conservative approach to safety. That's the number one concern," said Marty Grimes, a spokesman for the water district. "We'll keep the water level that low until we can establish that the dam can withstand the maximum credible earthquake on that fault."
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.9 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 04:07:45 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 30.613 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 117.103 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 16.3 </td><td valign="top"> ANHUI, CHINA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 04:07:31 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 36.550 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -121.132 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 8.9 </td><td valign="top"> CENTRAL CALIFORNIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 03:53:24 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 35.662 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -97.082 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.1 </td><td valign="top"> OKLAHOMA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 03:47:07 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 39.399 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 72.192 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 35.1 </td><td valign="top"> KYRGYZSTAN</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 02:48:40 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 56.261 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -152.627 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 11.6 </td><td valign="top"> KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.1 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 02:13:04 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 32.113 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -115.130 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 30.1 </td><td valign="top"> BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO</td></tr></tbody></table>
10-degree Map Centered at 30°N,115°E

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<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.2 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 09:51:15 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 41.929 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 42.405 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 15.1 </td><td valign="top"> GEORGIA (SAK'ART'VELO)</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.3 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 09:17:51 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 41.981 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 42.651 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 14.2 </td><td valign="top"> GEORGIA (SAK'ART'VELO)</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.9 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/19 07:10:45 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 48.961 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -120.677 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 0.0 </td><td valign="top"> WASHINGTON</td></tr></tbody></table>
10-degree Map Centered at 40°N,45°E

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ผ่านไป 18 วัน แผ่นดินไหวมากกว่า 7 ริกเตอร์ 5 หนแล้ว

<table width="790" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><col style="width: 41pt;" width="54"> <col style="width: 48pt;" width="64"> <col style="width: 98pt;" width="131"> <col style="width: 48pt;" width="64" span="3"> <col style="width: 262pt;" width="349"> <tbody><tr style="height: 13.5pt;" height="18"> <td class="xl30" style="height: 13.5pt; width: 41pt;" width="54" height="18">MAP</td> <td class="xl31" style="width: 48pt;" width="64"> 7.2 </td> <td class="xl27" style="width: 98pt;" width="131">2011/01/18 20:23:26 </td> <td class="xl28" style="width: 48pt;" width="64"> 28.838 </td> <td class="xl28" style="width: 48pt;" width="64"> 63.947 </td> <td class="xl28" style="width: 48pt;" width="64">84.0 </td> <td class="xl29" style="width: 262pt;" width="349"> SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 13.5pt;" height="18"> <td class="xl30" style="height: 13.5pt;" height="18">MAP</td> <td class="xl31"> 7.0 </td> <td class="xl27">2011/01/13 16:16:42 </td> <td class="xl28"> -20.617 </td> <td class="xl28"> 168.489 </td> <td class="xl28">5.9 </td> <td class="xl29" style="width: 262pt;" width="349"> LOYALTY ISLANDS</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 13.5pt;" height="18"> <td class="xl30" style="height: 13.5pt;" height="18">MAP</td> <td class="xl31"> 7.0 </td> <td class="xl27">2011/01/13 16:16:42 </td> <td class="xl28"> -20.622 </td> <td class="xl28"> 168.459 </td> <td class="xl28">9.0 </td> <td class="xl29" style="width: 262pt;" width="349"> LOYALTY ISLANDS</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17">MAP</td> <td class="xl26"> 7.1 </td> <td class="xl24">2011/01/02 20:20:18 </td> <td class="xl32"> -38.354 </td> <td class="xl32"> -73.275 </td> <td class="xl32">25.1 </td> <td class="xl25" style="width: 262pt;" width="349" align="left"> ARAUCANIA, CHILE</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17">MAP</td> <td class="xl26"> 7.0 </td> <td class="xl24">2011/01/01 09:56:59 </td> <td class="xl32"> -26.758 </td> <td class="xl32"> -63.103 </td> <td class="xl32">583.6 </td> <td class="xl25" style="width: 262pt;" width="349" align="left"> SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA</td> </tr> </tbody></table>

 

อ้างอิง

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#336699"><td nowrap="nowrap" width="130">วัน-เวลา</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" width="30">ขนาด</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" width="40">lat</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" width="40">long</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" width="20">phase</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" width="120">บริเวณที่เกิด</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">ข้อมูลอื่นๆ</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td valign="top">2554-01-19 22:51:00</td> <td valign="top">2.0</td> <td valign="top">18.38</td> <td valign="top">99.00</td> <td align="center" valign="top">6</td> <td valign="top">ต.ทากาศ อ.แม่ทา จ.ลำพูน</td> <td valign="top"> - </td></tr></tbody></table>

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.9 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/21 01:41:04 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 34.096 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -117.553 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 12.3 </td><td valign="top"> GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/21 00:55:23 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 16.365 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 121.261 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 22.9 </td><td valign="top"> LUZON, PHILIPPINES</td></tr></tbody></table>
10-degree Map Centered at 15°N,120°E

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ระดับความรุนแรง: ปานกลาง-มาก

ช่วงเวลา: Mon, 2011-01-17 - Mon, 2011-02-07

หลังจากช่วงดาวเคราะห์เรียงตัวในวันที่ 12-13 มกราคม แล้วไม่มีแนวเรียงตัวที่สำคัญมากหลังจากนั้นจนถีงวันที่ 2 กุมภาพันธ์ คาดว่ากระทบต่อโลกจะไม่มากนัก แต่จะเก็บข้อมูลในช่วงนี้เพื่อไปวิเคราะห์ต่อไป

ซี่งช่วงนี้อาจจะต้องดูปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์วันที่ 20 และ 26-27 มกราคม เป็นพิเศษ แต่เหตุการณ์นี้ส่งผลกระทบต่อโลกอาจจะไม่มากเท่ากับวันที่ 2-5 กุมภาพันธ์

ในวันที่ 2 กุมภาพันธ์ ประมาณ 0 UTC จะมีเหตุการณ์ดาวเคราะห์เรียงตัวระหว่าง พระอาทิตย์ ดาววีนัส และ ดาวพฤหัส ในมุม 180 องศา นอกจากนั้นยังมีการเรียงตัวระหว่างดวงอาทิตย์ ดาววีนัส และ ดาวเสาร์ ในเวลาประมาณ 18 UTC



ในวันที่ 3 กุมภาพันธ์ เวลาประมาณ 4:30 UTC จะมีการเรียงตัวระหว่างพระอาทิตย์ โลก และ ดวงจันทร์ ซี่งแนวที่คาดว่าจะได้รับผลกระทบหลักคือ ประเทศในเอเซียตะวันออกเฉียงใต้ หรือ ประเทศในเอเซียตะวันออกลาง ส่วนผลกระทบรองคาดว่าจะเป็นบริเวณทวีปยุโรป หรือ อเมริกาเหนือ




ซึ่งคาดว่าพระอาทิตย์จะเริ่มมีปฏิกริยาใหญ่อีกครั้งหนี่งตั้งแต่ปลายวัน ที่ 1 กุมภาพันธ์ และปล่อยพลังงานของในรูปแบบของ CME ซี่งจะส่งผลกระทบต่อโลกระดับปานกลางในวันที่ 3-6 กุมภาพันธ์ ผลกระทบต่อโลกนั้นจะอยู่ในรูปแบบของแผ่นดินไหว ประมาณ 6.2-7.2 ริตเตอร์ และสภาพอากาศแปรปรวน

 

แผ่นดินไหวสุมาตราตอนใต้ 5.3 ริกเตอร์

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.3 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/23 09:05:35 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -4.322 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 102.124 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 49.9 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/23 07:08:21 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 27.328 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 143.477 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 10.0 </td><td valign="top"> BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION</td></tr></tbody></table>

10-degree Map Centered at 5°S,100°E

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<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"></td> <td valign="top" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">


</td> <td valign="top" width="100%"> Green Earthquake Alert Tonga</td> <td valign="top"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Summary

On 1/24/2011 1:02:05 AM UTC (about 13:27h local time) an earthquake of magnitude 5.8 occurred in the unpopulated region of Tonga in Tonga. The nearest populated places are: [None]. The closest civilian airport is Vavau International (69km).
Potentially affected critical infrastructure:

• Nuclear plants: [None]
• Hydrodams: [None]
• Airports: Haapai (100km), Vavau International (69km)
• Ports: Pangai (103km), Neiafu (64km)

Based on an automated impact model, this earthquake, which occurred in a region with low vulnerability to natural disasters, has potentially a low humanitarian impact.
Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.
<table><tbody><tr><td>Event Date Univ. Time: </td><td>Mon, 1/24/2011 01:02 UTC</td></tr> <tr><td>European Time of the event: </td><td>Mon, 1/24/2011 02:02 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)</td></tr> <tr><td>East America Time of the event: </td><td>Sun, 1/23/2011 20:02 EST (New York, Washington)</td></tr> <tr><td>West America Time of the event: </td><td>Sun, 1/23/2011 17:02 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)</td></tr> <tr><td>East Asia Time of the event: </td><td>Mon, 1/24/2011 10:02 JTI (Tokyo)</td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">This email report was automatically created by a computer at: 1/24/2011 1:30:25 AM UTC (28 minutes after the event)</td></tr> </tbody></table> See the GDACS website for live news coverage (including OCHA Situation Reports), the full earthquake report .
For information on emergency response, please consult the GDACS Virtual OSOCC.

Earthquake Event

Characteristics

• Source: World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC) M
• Magnitude: 5.8 M
• Depth: 37.6 km
• Location (Lat/Long): -19.1433 | -173.6675
• Country: Tonga
• Province: Tonga
• Region: Tonga
• UTC/GMT (Greenwich time): 1/24/2011 1:02:05 AM
• Estimated local solar time: 1/23/2011 1:27:25 PM

Population Density near epicenter (people/km²). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
Earthquake Impact Details

Potentially affected People

<table style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="3">

Population Data​

</th> </tr> <tr> <th>Radius (km)</th> <th>Population</th> <th>Density (people/km?)</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">1</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">2</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">5</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">10</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">20</td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">50</td> <td style="text-align: right;">60 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">100</td> <td style="text-align: right;">18985 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;">200</td> <td style="text-align: right;">26124 </td> <td style="text-align: right;">0 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> The population in the area of this earthquake is 0 people/km?.
The earthquake occurred at 13h local time. At this time a day, more people are at work and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing office buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.
Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.
Tonga has a GDP per capita of 1579 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the low level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of low resilience.
Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Tonga a low vulnerability.
<table style="border-collapse: collapse; border: 1px none;" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="2" valign="top"> ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Tonga</th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right;" colspan="2" valign="top">

​

</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Overall situation</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">Human Development </td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Human Poverty​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Exposure to Major Disasters</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Natural Disasters​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top">

Conflicts​

</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Humanitarian effects of population movement</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Refugees</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Internally Displaced People</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Health and Nutrition</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Undernourishment</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Mortality rates</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ecdb88"> Donor contributions</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: right; border-right-style: none; border-right-width: medium;" valign="top"> Official Development assistance</td> <td style="text-align: center; border-left-style: none; border-left-width: medium;" valign="top" width="8">

​

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="border-top-style: solid;"> Source ECHO
Key: Bad - Medium - Good - No data</td></tr> </tbody></table> Secondary effects

Probability of secondary effects:

• Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 6.118% and the maximum altitude is 187 m. Since this is a low slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is low. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions.
• Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Tsunami: No tsunami risk.

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 6.1 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/24 02:45:29 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 38.437 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 72.749 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 89.6 </td><td valign="top"> TAJIKISTAN</td></tr></tbody></table>

10-degree Map Centered at 40°N,75°E

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เป็นช่วงหยุดยาว (long weekend) วันมาฆะ

จับตาการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์ช่วงวันที่ 17 กุมภาพันธ์ คศ 2011




ระดับความรุนแรง: มาก

ช่วงเวลา: Tue, 2011-02-08 - Mon, 2011-02-28






ในช่วงนี้เราจะเริ่มจากดูปฏิกริยาของพระอาทิตย์ในวันที่ 9 กุมภาพันธ์ ซึ่งจะมีการเรียงตัวระหว่าง พระอาทิตย์ ดาวพุธ และ ดาวพฤหัส ในมุม 90 องศา ซึ่งคาดการณ์ว่าจะมีปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ขนาดปานกลาง จะส่งผลต่อโลกในระดับปานกลางในวันที่ 9-10 หรือ ในวันที่ 12-13 กุมภาพันธ์





หลังจากนั้นจะมีการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์แนวหลักในวันที่ 18 กุมภาพันธ์ ระหว่าง ควงอาทิตย์ โลก และ ดาวอังคาร ในแนว 180 องศา และ การเรียงตัวระหว่าง พระอาทิตย์ วีนัส และ ดาวพุธ ในมุม 90 องศา ซึ่งเราคาดว่าจะเริ่มเห็นปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ตั้งแต่วันที่ 15 กุมภาพันธ์ เป็นต้นไปซึ่งคาดว่าโลกจะได้รับผลกระทบระหว่างวันที่ 16-22 กุมภาพันธ์ มีความน่าจะเป็นสูงที่จะเกิดแผ่นดินไหวขนาด 6.2-7.5 ริตเตอร์ ในช่วงวันที่ 17-20 กุมภาพันธ์





ในวันที่ 25 กุมภาพันธ์ จะมีการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์อีกครั้งระหว่าง ดวงอาทิตย์ ดาวพุธ และ โลก ซึ่งคาดว่าจะเกิดปฏิกริยาพระอาทิตย์ในระดับ ปานกลาง ถีง มาก

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/25 23:57:30 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -18.849 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 67.346 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 15.6 </td><td valign="top"> MID-INDIAN RIDGE</td></tr></tbody></table>10-degree Map Centered at 20°S,65°E

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<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th>
</th> <th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/01/26 07:24:29 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 9.910 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 108.138 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 10.0 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTH CHINA SEA</td></tr></tbody></table>
10-degree Map Centered at 10°N,110°E